Analysing Tom Telesco’s tendencies to predict who he will draft: ROUND 2 EDITION

Adam Sadigh

Round 2:

    In the past 3 drafts, the Chargers have drafted Forrest Lamp, Uchenna Nwosu, and Nasir Adderley in the second round. In the second round it should be much easier to find a common theme. Although it wasn’t listed as one of the top needs in 2017, guard was almost as big of a need as tackle… knowing the Chargers, this shouldn’t surprise you. In 2017, a projected 1st round pick who could play both guard and tackle fell to the Chargers in the second round. He also happened to be the best player available. For this pick it isn’t so clear what Telesco’s draft strategy was. It seemed like the best player available who happened to fill their number 1 need fell to them. What did we learn from this pick? Telesco takes the best player available? Telesco drafts for need?

    Next I’ll analyze the selection of Uchenna Nwosu. As mentioned previously, linebacker was a huge need coming into the draft. With the selection of Derwin James, it suddenly became less of a need. However, it did not rule out the possibility of the Chargers selecting a player who could play linebacker all 3 downs. He could also fill the role of a third pass rusher to play alongside Bosa or Ingram for obvious passing downs. Nwosu was given a 3rd round grade by most due to his inexperience at linebacker and playing on the edge. He was, however, the best edge and linebacker available in the 2nd round. When looking at those drafted after him, a case could be made that he was in fact, the best player available. The biggest knock on Nwosu was that he was thought of to be a player who would only do well in college. Anyone who has seen him play in college, knows that he was all over the field making plays. Telesco drafted Nwosu with the expectation that his playmaking abilities would translate to the NFL. What did we learn from this pick? Telesco drafts the best player available. Telesco values college production.

Now, I’ll analyze the selection of Nasir Adderley. With defensive tackle addressed, the Chargers could now address offensive tackle. Does it really surprise you that the Chargers didn’t address the need until the next round? Instead, they opted for Nasir Adderley who filled the next biggest need which was free safety. Adderley was arguably the best free safety in the draft and with a late first- high second round draft grade, the Chargers got extreme value with this pick. One of the knocks on Adderley was the fact that he played at a small school. What can we learn from this pick? Telesco drafts the best player available.   

You see why I thought this round would be easy to find a tendency in? In the past 3 drafts, it has been clear that Telesco drafts the best player available in the 2nd round. Based on this information, who can we expect the Chargers to draft in the first round? I’ll address 2 scenarios here. First, let’s start with the scenario that Simmons is the first pick. The same top needs are there however, the same players are not. 

LT:

  1. Jones
  2. Jackson
  3. Cleveland

QB: 

  1. Eason
  2. Hurts

WR: 

  1. Reagor
  2. Aiyuk
  3. Mims
  4. Hamler
  5. Shenault

    I am quickly going to rule out QB here unless somehow Love were to fall to the Chargers in the second round. Neither of the two players listed above will be the best players available in the second round. Hurts is an intriguing prospect and a perfect fit for Lynn’s offense but he would be a reach in the second round. 

    If any of the tackles listed above were available in the second round, I’m sure the Chargers would have a hard time passing them up. However, the starting talent at wide receiver cannot be ignored. Putting that aside, with such a loaded class at the position, in this scenario, I would expect the Chargers to take an offensive tackle. Running back is a sneaky pick here as well due to the talent likely to fall in the draft. However, Lynn seems more than content with Ekeler and Jackson in the backfield so I don’t expect this position to be addressed till later in the draft.  

    The next scenario is one in which the Chargers drafted their QB of the future in the first round. The needs change as well as the players available. 

LT:

  1. Jones
  2. Jackson
  3. Cleveland

WR: 

  1. Reagor
  2. Aiyuk
  3. Mims
  4. Hamler
  5. Shenault

CB:

  1. Igbinoghene
  2. Terrell
  3. Diggs

    In this scenario, corner gets added as the next biggest need. With the addition of Chris Harris Jr., corner isn’t as big of a need as before. However, there is a mystery as to who will start opposite Casey Hayward. In my opinion, the only corner worth taking in round 2 for the Chargers is Igbinoghene. He has all the potential to be a great corner but would need some time to develop. When comparing him to the offensive tackles who may be available in the 2nd round, the decision as to who the Chargers would take becomes tough. Igbinoghene has the potential to become a star at the position but a valid question is raised as to whether or not he would be able to contribute day 1. The tackles available have less potential at their positions however, they offer the ability to start immediately. Based off of Telesco’s second round draft tendency of drafting the best player available, I believe the Chargers will… 

  1. Take Jones, Jackson, or Cleveland in the first scenario
    1. Take Igbinoghene in the second scenario

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